Case study
Traditionally bank debt is a very serious problem for economy of different countries,
especially for developing ones. This is why the investments in the local currency
traditionally aim at the improvement of the situation concerning the bank debt
and the rate of national currency.
On analyzing the situation suggested, from the first glance it becomes obvious
that the three countries are in quite a difficult situation and each of them
need some additional investments in the local currency in order to keep sustain
development and speed up the progress of national economies.
In order to better understand the cost of a $45,000,000 assembly plant investment
in local currency and rank properly the countries, it is necessary to briefly
analyze the situation in which the countries are supposed to be. Actually it
should be pointed out that the situation is purely hypothetical because regardless
different initial situation with the prices on Latin America bank debt, it is
practically impossible to provide absolutely equal economic conditions, as well
as political ones, for suggested investments.
Nonetheless, admitting that such a situation is possible, it is necessary to
point out that the cost of the investment will directly depend on the situation
with the bank debt in the threes countries. In other words, the lower the bank
debt is the lower the cost of investments will be. In such a situation it is
necessary to analyze the dynamic of the bank debt in each of the three countries
in the context of the changes and development suggested.
Initially, Mexico seems to be in the best situation since the prices on its
bank debt are 41.32. In a worse position is Venezuela with the prices on its
bank debt constituting 54.25, while the position of Chile seems to be the worst
since the prices for its bank debts are 70.25. Obviously the situation will
change after the attempt of national banks of each of the countries mentioned
above to redeem the bank debt. It is very important that the figures vary quite
significantly from 45% for Mexico, 63% for Chile, to 75% for Venezuela of face
value in a debt-for-equity swap, aiming at the improving the situation with
the bank debt and strengthening national currency through additional investments.
On figuring out the changes that could occur after such measures undertaken
by the central banks, it is obvious that the prices on the bank debt will change
dramatically and in such circumstances if all other factors are equal the price
on bank debt of Venezuela will be the lowest, followed by Mexican and Chilean
ones for the redeeming of the bank debts by national banks leads to decreasing
of prices and the higher the percentage the bank debts are redeemed the lower
the price will be.
Consequently, taking into consideration the correlation and interdependence
of the bank debt and cost of investments in the local currency the latter will
be ranked correspondingly to the decrease of the bank debt. To put it more precisely,
the lowest costs will be in Venezuela, than higher in Mexico, and the highest
costs will be in Chile.
Bibliography:
1. Davidson, L.E. The Bank Debt in Developing Countries. New York: Touchstone,
2000.
2. Nichols, D.A. Economy and Investments. New York: Routledge, 1998.


